We are all aware that the universe is
a very big, diverse place. Our own galaxy, the Milky Way, contains
somewhere in the range of 200 to 400 billion stars. Estimates of
the number of galaxies in the entire universe go up to about 500
billion, each containing it's own hundreds of billions of stars.
These are staggering numbers, and the odds of us being the only
life-producing planet in the galaxy, much less the universe, are
infinitesimally small, pretty much to the point of being impossible.
Certainly, for life as we know it, a planet has to be a certain distance
from its sun, and many other elements have to be in place for life to
exist and expand, not something that happens around every sun or even
every 50, 100, or even 1,000 suns. But it undoubtedly does
happen, even if only occasionally. Accepting this as fact, it
would follow that some life-producing planets would still
be at the very early stages of life, some would be in the middle, and some
would be advanced, with only the advanced having the capability to
venture out or at least send beacons to worlds outside their own.
So even if life is teeming in our galaxy and beyond, the worlds with
beings advanced enough to make contact (and close enough to attract our
attention) are probably fairly limited, though still, the odds are high
that there are at least a few. So where are they, and why
have we come up with no hard-core, indisputable proof that
extraterrestrial life exists? Below are some of the prevailing
theories:
Advanced civilizations are
self-destructive
This is a chilling theory whereby once a
civilization advances to a certain point, it inadvertently (or
advertently) annihilates
itself. This is not so far out, as it involves stuff we read about
in the papers every day here on planet earth, including overpopulation,
scarcity of resources, communicable diseases, nuclear bombs, biological
terrorism, and air or water pollution, to name a few. There are
virtually unlimited ways to either mess each other up or mess up our
environment to the point of no return as we become more technologically
advanced, and we may be at a make or break point even now on planet
earth. If a an alien civilization has indeed gotten to the point
of being able venture out to find life in other places, it may be that
its efforts just didn't last long enough to accomplish anything
meaningful due to its own inclination to self-destruct. Due to the distances involved in sending and receiving
messages over the vastness of space, a civilization would have to watch,
listen, and transmit for a very long time to increase chances of being
detected by a world elsewhere in the galaxy or beyond. Of course,
our inclination to self-destruct would have to be a trait shared by most
advanced life in the universe for this theory to be valid, and we have
no evidence that this is the case so far.
Periodic eradication of life by the
planet itself
This one is not so far-fetched. We
already know that our planet is a dangerous one, with super
volcanoes, ice ages, mega-quakes, solar flares, and meteor hits that
occur on a periodic basis, eradicating large amounts of life in the
process. We can only assume that any other planet with an
environment conducive to advanced life forms would also have these types
of scenarios. It takes a living, breathing planet to evolve
living, breathing life forms. Therefore, life could be a "one step
forward, two steps back" type of thing, where beings evolve to a certain
point only to be devastated by a natural disaster of global magnitude,
returning to a non-technological state for at least a while. Our
technology has only been in it's currently recognizable state for around
the last 150 years, and at any point a global catastrophe could occur
that would set us back to being farmers or even cave-dwellers.
Again, technology would have to be sustained for a long period of time
in order to detect or be detected by another civilization.
Alien beings are out there, but they
choose to remain silent
Here on earth, we have programs that are
actively looking for evidence of life on other planets, mainly by
scanning the skies for intelligent-sounding radio waves and looking with
telescopes for telltale signs of habitable places. We haven't made
a huge
effort to transmit messages out into the universe for others to pick up,
however, we have made a few notable attempts, including the Voyager gold
records, which many scientists think were a particularly unwise move.
The problem is, we don't know who is going to intercept any messages we
send. They could be received by a highly advanced, benevolent
civilization that will help bring us into a golden age, or they could be
received by a malevolent civilization with the technology and the will
to destroy us completely. It would take a worldwide consensus (not
likely) to formally embark on any kind of focused messaging into the
universe because the consequences (good or bad) would be shared by the
entire planet. There are just too many unknowns at this point, and
the prudent thing is to just passively listen and look for clues rather
than aggressively send out signals. It would seem reasonable that
other civilizations might have the same concerns, and also passively
watch and listen. The result is that everybody is listening but
nobody is sending, a real possibility. There are, however,
inadvertent signals we send out with radio and television and the like
that could be picked up by someone looking in the right place at the
right time. They might be watching Star Trek reruns on
planet Zircon for all we know, but that's unlikely, since we have only
been transmitting radio signals for about the last 100 years. In
cosmic terms, 100 years is the blink of an eye, and it's very possible
that nobody has detected us thus far, at least via radio waves or
television. Even if they have detected us, it's not
unreasonable to think that they might very well stay cautiously silent
at least for a while to assess what we are all about before announcing
their presence.
The government is withholding
information about extraterrestrial life
This is pretty much a given. The government withholds information
about everything. The question is to what degree are they
withholding information. If you look back through history, there
is some fairly compelling evidence for the presence of extraterrestrials
all the way back to the cave dwellers, who drew pictures on cave walls
that look just like our modern alien depictions. Ancient
civilizations built amazing structures that we would be hard-pressed to
duplicate today, and they supposedly did it with only the most
rudimentary tools. There are places like the Nazca lines in Peru
that don't look like anything until you see them from the air. And
of course, there are the modern stories - jet pilots who are followed by
something that can outmaneuver anything we have, astronauts who see
strange things while in space, and even Presidents who themselves have
experienced weird unexplained phenomenon. Then there is Project
Blue Book - the government's attempt to explain UFO sightings, 20% of
which were never explained satisfactorily. And of course, there is
Roswell and Area 51. When the crash occurred at Roswell, the
government came right out and said it was an alien crash, only to
backpedal the next day and say it was a weather balloon. These
little pieces of evidence here, there, and everywhere do tend to make
one wonder what they really know. The evidence strongly suggests
that they are aware that something is going on beyond the ordinary, but
it also suggests that they don't deem it a huge threat. We are not
presently ramping up our military or our space programs to combat a
threat from the great beyond, and although we have experienced
remarkable advancement in the last 150 years or so, we pretty much know
that the seeds were planted by the hard work of the Einsteins of the
world, not by alien intervention. So the bottom line is that the
government almost certainly does know a lot more than they are telling
us about extraterrestrials, but whatever it is they know, they
apparently don't deem it to be an imminent threat, at least for the time
being.
Extraterrestrials are too alien
We are constantly working towards unlocking
the secrets of the universe, but in the grand scheme of creation, we are
just babes in the woods despite all our gee whiz technological advances.
The truth is, we don't know what it's like to visit another galaxy or
even another star in our own galaxy. We have a rudimentary grasp
of the physics of the universe, but most of our knowledge is derived
from theory and not practical experience. We tend to think of
extraterrestrials as being somewhat like us, but what if they aren't?
They might live by a completely different set or rules than we do,
living in higher or lower dimension and vibrating on a different
frequency entirely. It could be that they are all around us
and we simply don't recognize them for what they are or even see them at
all. They could be passing through a wormhole right in the middle
of our living room with us completely unaware of them and them of us.
It could be that they are so fast that we can't see them or so slow that
we can't see them. Maybe every solar system has it's own unique
brand of "life." If they don't generate radio waves and we are
looking for radio waves, we are simply barking up the wrong tree, and it
could be that they are signaling with some technology we haven't even
discovered yet.
Conclusion:
It is worth noting (as far as the general public is concerned) that so
far there is no concrete evidence that we have been visited by
extraterrestrials in our immediate vicinity (the parts of the solar
system we have explored). Governments might know more, but if they
do, they are staying remarkably silent about it. We do have some
anecdotal evidence by various credible people, but this does not
constitute proof. Space is such a big big place that its breadth
and scope are almost beyond comprehension. It takes a radio wave 8
minutes to reach the sun, 4 years to reach even the nearest star, and
120,000 years to go across the galaxy. Not to mention close to a
million years to reach even the closest galaxy outside our own. So
distance alone could very well be the reason we are not aware of any
extraterrestrial civilizations, or it could be a combination of factors
above, such as distance and the length of time advanced civilizations
exist. If someone on the other side of the galaxy started sending
out radio waves 50,000 years ago, they wouldn't reach us for another
70,000 years, and then we would have to be listening in the right place
at the right time. We wouldn't have a clue as to whether they still
existed or not after receiving such a message. Although receipt of
the message would constitute proof of extraterrestrials, it probably
wouldn't help all that much as far as getting to know how they lived or
what they thought (depending on the contents of the message, of course).
This would be similar to finding a message in a bottle from 120 years
ago. You would know that someone existed that created the message,
but that individual would be long gone and the only information about
them would be the contents of the message itself. It is worth
noting that at this time, science is making great strides in pinpointing
where extraterrestrial life may reside. A planet was discovered in
late 2011 that is in the right position related to its star and has a
very good chance of harboring life. This is about 20 light years
from us. No word so far as to whether any intelligent-sounding
signals have emanated from it, but it is an exciting find nonetheless. As we learn more
about what constitutes "outer space", we are realizing that space itself
contains all the ingredients for life. Indeed, we are all "star
children," having been born of the very same stuff out of which the
universe itself was created. This strongly suggests that we are
not unique in the universe. At some point, if we hold together
long enough as a civilization, we may very well find a way to bend
space-time, reducing or eliminating the distance problems, but that is
the stuff of science fiction as of this writing. So in
conclusion, at least for the time being, all we can really do is keep
looking and hope that we can find that needle in the haystack that we
know has to exist just beyond our reach.
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